Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.305266 4.968360 5.699160 6.564317 7.560700 8.672449 10.007453
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.278700 4.113963 5.112934 6.395812 8.000286 9.941920 12.472411
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.718301 3.668778 4.889419 6.572135 8.833410 11.770244 15.880797
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.205329 3.176790 4.506260 6.458874 9.256716 13.127075 18.900791
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.970956 3.011209 4.518896 6.863667 10.423790 15.637228 23.875359
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.749740 2.820548 4.455841 7.135310 11.424225 18.039453 29.056007
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.520793 2.575487 4.265516 7.170857 12.052754 19.950581 33.753741
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.262333 2.237895 3.872397 6.810248 11.974201 20.706174 36.666214
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.160998 2.148037 3.871988 7.102088 13.023369 23.457639 43.342893
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.104761 2.127648 3.985359 7.604662 14.506483 27.149016 52.207310
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.011520 2.023379 3.930161 7.784769 15.414706 29.912169 59.733573
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.919179 1.906098 3.832215 7.864845 16.135010 32.404738 67.072367
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.797269 1.715243 3.572068 7.601366 16.169092 33.633064 72.209379
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.687447 1.532427 3.301646 7.275872 16.026725 34.485274 76.700106
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.631795 1.457497 3.244950 7.396438 16.850993 37.464076 86.214949
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.559569 1.334385 3.066600 7.221771 16.998140 39.004732 92.767319
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.539104 1.327375 3.145316 7.644112 18.567090 43.924298 107.842587
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.510425 1.296293 3.164049 7.927646 19.850989 48.368533 122.465058
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.468924 1.227203 3.082732 7.955612 20.517805 51.444801 134.198453
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.408356 1.100344 2.842333 7.548946 20.035496 51.652102 138.702020
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.391642 1.085597 2.881196 7.868237 21.471736 56.867356 157.058380
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.386638 1.101623 3.001705 8.422275 23.613414 64.200160 182.220274
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.365696 1.070288 2.992151 8.620051 24.813437 69.208951 201.738828